Acton Commentary: Minimum Wage, Maximum Suffering by Robert Sirico

The minimum wage is going up but in real terms—that is, adjusted for inflation—but it has generally fallen since its height in 1968, at which point it exceeded $9 in today's dollars. The unemployment rate was at 6 percent and it would go higher and higher through the 1970s.

Today the legally mandated minimum wage is very low by postwar standards. Indeed, we have just completed the longest period when the minimum has not be raised. And what is happening to the unemployment rate? It is rock bottom and nearing 4 percent (which many economists would consider full employment).

Do you see a connection? With few dictates, more people work. That's the bottom line. What the minimum wage does is no more or less than make it illegal for employees to contract for employment at less than a set price floor.

…….

But this big picture can be a bit distorting. Let's think of this problem from the point of view of a parent of a disabled child who struggles in school and has few options for the future. When the girl turns 16, she has the opportunity to work – which is a wonderful source of life and vitality for a young person. She can contribute to society and learn so much in the process. She senses that she is valued by others.

Now, it is not the case that her labor contribution will be equal to her wages, at least not initially. But there is an employer out there who wants to help this girl. She is hired at $5.85, a wage that puts pressure on the business but it's bearable. What happens when the legal minimum is raised to $6 and $7? At some point, the wage becomes unviable. The boss's charity can only extend so far. She will probably be fired as a direct result of Congress's attempt to do good. …

…….

…Whenever the minimum wage is raised, there are victims and those victims are the people who are the most marginal members of society, the people without work experience, the young, those who are likely to be discriminated against.

Now, it's true that there are empirical studies that downplay the cause and effect relationship between increased minimum wages and unemployment. And it is true that the data do no always bear out this relationship, and the reason is that macroeconomic data is not always so clean and clear. What we need to do is use logic and use our heads to think through this issue.

Whenever a price floor is raised, the tendency is to create a surplus of goods beyond which there might not otherwise have been. Whenever a wage floor is raised, it creates a surplus of workers who otherwise might have had jobs. Sometimes the effect can be small, as it will undoubtedly be this time since it has been so mercifully long since the minimum wage has been raised. But let there be no mistake: at the microeconomic level, the effects are real and tragic.

Why would anyone support such a policy? There is plenty of economic ignorance out there, and surely that is one explanation. But another explanation is uglier. Labor unions don't like competition, particularly from low-wage, inexperienced employees. They believe that they drive down their own wages. So they prefer higher minimum wages as a means of blocking certain people from getting a foothold in the workplace. If you doubt this, consider that labor unions are the main lobbyists for the minimum wage. No union member works for anywhere near the minimum wage. Do you have a better explanation?

The beauty of non-coercive means of negotiating wages is that they rely on human consent, cooperation, and voluntary assent. This is the humanitarian way to raise wages. Introducing the force of government into the exchange causes friction, exclusion, and unforeseen problems such as the exclusion of some of society's most vulnerable people.


Comments

7 responses to “Minimum Wage, Maximum Suffering”

  1. I’m a bit offended that the author sees a desire to raise the minimum wage as “econominc ignorance,” while he brushes aside the empirical studies that downplay the cause/effect relationship.
    Perhaps the author doesn’t understand that it is not just the 16-year-old disabled girl who’s getting minimum wage. The largest employer in our country is Wal-Mart and employees there are, on average, barely making over the minimum wage.
    The author cites the reason that unions are working to raise the minimum is because they want to keep low-wage workers out. He completely ignores that fact that it is near impossible for a person to live on the minimum wage. Perhaps the unions are doing what they are created to do–working for the good of the employees.

  2. Hi Carol,
    You wrote:
    “…while he brushes aside the empirical studies that downplay the cause/effect relationship.”
    I’m unclear what you meant here but the rest of your comment raises some important issues. This gives me a chance to flesh out some of thoughts. (Lucky you! 🙂 ) I will break these into three separate comments.
    Who Earns Minimum Wage?
    “Earning minimum wage” and “living in poverty” are not synonymous. About 20% of MW earners live in households within annual income above $80,000. Half live in households earning more than $40,000 a year (about the median household income.) Only 15% of MW earners live in households below the poverty line.
    The MW is paid overwhelmingly to low skilled teens and young people working their first job as they get work experience. The great majority making MW now will be making more within a few months and significantly more within a couple of years. The number of people earning MW of endless years is very small.
    “Increased MW” is synonymous with “making it more costly and risky to hire unskilled workers.” When we look at what happens to society in the aggregate you can find studies that show an aggregate improvement in wages. However, when you disaggregate the information a much different picture unfolds. The least skilled and most economically vulnerable, which includes urban minority males, are hurt by the minimum wage. From a National Bureau of Economic Research report earlier this year:
    “For the minimum wage, the evidence points to disemployment effects that are concentrated among young minority men. …Thus, whether or not the policy combination of a high EITC and a high minimum wage is viewed as favorable or unfavorable depends in part on whose incomes policymakers are trying to increase.”
    The MW is a measure theoretically intended to help the poor but 85% of the people it impacts are not poor and it actually harms some those its advocates intended to help.

  3. Living Wage as Social Justice
    Here is scenario a presented elsewhere recently.
    The poverty rate for a single adult is $9,973 ($5.00 per hr.) for a single adult and $26,683 ($13.35 per hr.) for a family of six.
    You want to keep your lawn mowed and trimmed. Two men, approximately twenty-five years old present themselves to you as yard care workers. Based on what you have been able to determine, these two men have equivalent skills, experience, and reliability. They provide the same quality in the same amount of time. You check around and find that most yard care folks of their quality in your area charge $10-$12 per hour.
    The first man is single with no dependents. Allowing for overhead and other expenses, he needs a wage of $7.50 to net the poverty wage of $5.00 an hour (or $2.50 per hour for overhead). He offers to work for $10 an hour.
    The second man is married with four children. Allowing for overhead and other expenses he needs a wage of $15.85 to net the poverty wage of $13.35 an hour (or $2.50 per hour for overhead). He offers to work for $16 an hour.
    Which of these two men are you going to hire? The overwhelming majority of us are going to hire the first man who will do the job for $10 per hour. Why? Because we are heartless evil capitalists, callous to the plight of the second man? No. Because we determine wages and prices based on the value of the services rendered not on the need of the person rendering the service. The market signal to man number two is that he needs to pursue other options in order to make a better living.
    If the government steps in and sets a minimum wage at $16.00 so that a family with four children can earn an above poverty income, what are you and your neighbors going to do? Many will opt to cut their lawns themselves. Some will hire neighbor kids and pay them under the table. Others will opt to cut their grass less frequently and skimp on trimming. The demand for the service will drop. The handful of yard care folks who manage to stay in the market will benefit from the mandate, but many of those who could have been working at $10-12 hour will now be without a job.
    Society, of which business is one institution, has as part of its mission for no one to live in poverty. Society consists of family, neighborhood, informal networks, church, voluntary associations, business and government. When people are incapacitated from providing for themselves society needs to provide for folks through its array of institutions. When able bodied people experience a gap between what they earn and what they need to be living beyond poverty, society with its array of institutions of which business is one institution works to help them eliminate that gap. The contribution of business is to effectively organize means of production to efficiently produce goods and services, thus creating wealth and opportunities for employment. They are obligated to pay a just wage, which is whatever wage two non-coerced parties agree to. If the wage is insufficient for living, then society (an array of institutions) must endeavor to help that person develop the wherewithal to close that gap. The MW is an attempt to shift the burden of the rest of society on to the back of businesses.

  4. Unions
    Unions are a big business whose customers are its workers. If demand for a particular kind of labor decreases, then the union representing that kind of labor can limit the number of people they allow into the union. If the union is in a “union only” district, it will drive up the wages for their members because employers will have to compete over a smaller pool of potential workers. (Supply and demand.) Meanwhile, other workers who might have been willing to do the work, and been able to earn a decent wage doing so, are unemployed.
    Second, many union contracts have provisions in them that say things like “a worker with X years experience must be paid a wage no less than the three times the minimum wage.” A MW increase is a way to achieve state imposed unionized wage increases across the board.
    Finally, particularly where there are not closed shops for unions, the MW increases the cost of labor for employers who do not employ union members, making the wages of paid union workers relatively more competitive.
    Wal-Mart
    People improve their standard of living by two means. Their wages go up or their cost of living goes down. Wal-Mart creates about 100 jobs for every 50 it eliminates. The wages of those jobs may be a bit lower than the 50 created but the enormous impact Wal-Mart has had keeping costs low, especially on stuff like food which makes up 25% of the costs of low-income families’ budgets. The balance appears to be a tremendous expansion in numbers of jobs at slightly lower wages, with substantially reduced prices for all low-income people. See my post a year ago today that includes a link to an article by economist and avowed Democrat Jason Furman in Slate. Also, see this one by George Will.
    Wal-Mart is a complex phenomenon.

  5. Michael,
    Thanks for the substantial, thoughtful response.
    What I meant by “…while he brushes aside the empirical studies that downplay the cause/effect relationship” is that
    (1) he says that people who support minimum wage may be ignorant and
    (2) he sates that “it’s true that there are empirical studies that downplay the cause and effect relationship between increased minimum wages and unemployment. And it is true that the data do no always bear out this relationship, and the reason is that macroeconomic data is not always so clean and clear. What we need to do is use logic and use our heads to think through this issue.”
    To me, that sounds like he’s saying people who disagree with him are ignorant, the empirical evidence is wrong, and we need to use his head and his logic to think this through. I’m not sure I’m willing to do that….
    I agree that it’s up to society for no one to live in poverty. And judging from the soup kitchen line outside of our church, we’re not doing a very good job of it.
    I would contend that two insitutions of our society which have kept us in check have been the unions and the government. The worker has very little voice or power on his/her own.
    A family of six living on 26,683? I can’t even imagine it.
    My hope is that every person working forty hours a week can live with dignity. What Sirico didn’t mention was that in 1970, high school graduates worked for GM (the largest employer) at $17.50 an hour. Now they work for Wal-Mart at $8 an hour. The wages have gone down, and the cost of living (especially the cost of housing and medical care) has gone way up.
    I don’t think we’re better off, as a whole.
    We need to keep working on this. Yet, I’m afraid that if we keep this idealistic picture of the “beauty of non-coercive means of negotiating wages is that they rely on human consent, cooperation, and voluntary assent,” the worker will continue to get lower wages while the cost of living keeps going up.
    This negotiation may look beautiful for the Acton Institute, but it’s not so lovely when a family’s trying to live on the wages that have been negotiated between two parties that have huge power differentials.
    Thanks again for the discussion, Michael. Your posts always give me a great deal to think about.

  6. Thanks Carol
    Thanks Carol. A friend of mine says unemployment of 4.5% is a wonderful thing unless you are one of the 4.5%; in which case it is 100% unemployment. 🙂
    In reality, the number of people in chronic long-term poverty is a fraction of the total poverty population at any given minute. As I recall, more than half the folks at poverty earning levels now, will not be so three months from now. A small percentage (in the single digits) of the population in poverty today was in poverty all of the previous 24 months.
    My intent isn’t to be dismissive of the suffering of the poor nor to suggest by any means that perfect fairness magically appears with non-coercive wage negotiations. I mostly want to emphasize that the measures we use to correct what we perceive as injustices often have unintended consequences that lead to unhelpful and even perverse outcomes. The destruction of families by making fathers irrelevant through programs like AFDC or the fact that rent controls lead more homelessness because all economic incentives are removed for building new dwellings or keeping up old ones are just two examples.
    I love discussing the minimum wage issue because it raises so many interesting economic and ethical issues. Personally, I think the impact of a rise in the min wage for ill or good, at levels presently being debated, will be marginal in the larger scheme of things. Actually I think the bigger downside with issue for me is people thinking they have made major contributions to the life of the poor through the MW and really they haven’t. Greater emphasis on things like economic empowerment zones, earned income tax credit, education and technical training for urban youth, elimination of the regressive FICA taxes and increasing the number of children raised by intact families would have far greater impact.
    In the future, maybe later this fall, I hope to do so posts that reflect on Christian anthropology and basic economics. I’ve been wrestling with this stuff for years and I never learn as much a I do when I sit down and try articulate what I’m learning along the way.
    Thanks for honoring me with your views!

  7. I’m looking forward to the upcoming posts!

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