Newsweek: Pencils And Politics George Will

Who commands the millions of people involved in making a pencil? Who is in charge? Where is the pencil czar?

Improbable as it might seem, perhaps the most important fact for a voter or politician to know is: No one can make a pencil. That truth is the essence of a novella that is, remarkably, both didactic and romantic. Even more remarkable, its author is an economist. If you read Russell Roberts's "The Price of Everything: A Parable of Possibility and Prosperity" you will see the world afresh—unless you already understand Friedrich Hayek's idea of spontaneous order.

Roberts, an economist at George Mason University and Stanford's Hoover Institution, sets his story in the Bay Area, where some Stanford students are indignant because a Big Box store doubled its prices after an earthquake. A student leader plans to protest Stanford's acceptance of a large gift from Big Box. The student's economics professor, Ruth, rather than attempting to dissuade him, begins leading him and his classmates to an understanding of prices, markets and the marvel of social cooperation. Holding up a Dixon Ticonderoga No. 2, she says: "No one can make a pencil."

Nonsense, her students think—someone made that one. …

Who commands the millions of people involved in making a pencil? Who is in charge? Where is the pencil czar?

Improbable as it might seem, perhaps the most important fact for a voter or politician to know is: No one can make a pencil. That truth is the essence of a novella that is, remarkably, both didactic and romantic. Even more remarkable, its author is an economist. If you read Russell Roberts's "The Price of Everything: A Parable of Possibility and Prosperity" you will see the world afresh—unless you already understand Friedrich Hayek's idea of spontaneous order.

Roberts, an economist at George Mason University and Stanford's Hoover Institution, sets his story in the Bay Area, where some Stanford students are indignant because a Big Box store doubled its prices after an earthquake. A student leader plans to protest Stanford's acceptance of a large gift from Big Box. The student's economics professor, Ruth, rather than attempting to dissuade him, begins leading him and his classmates to an understanding of prices, markets and the marvel of social cooperation. Holding up a Dixon Ticonderoga No. 2, she says: "No one can make a pencil."

Nonsense, her students think—someone made that one. …

…Her point is that markets allow order to emerge without anyone imposing it. The "poetry of the possible" is that things are organized without an organizer. "The graphite miner in Sri Lanka doesn't realize he's cooperating with the cedar farmer in California to serve the pencil customer in Maine." The boss of the pencil factory does not boss very much: He does not decide the prices of the elements of his product—or of his product. No one decides. Everyone buying and selling things does so as prices steer resources hither and yon, harmonizing supplies and demands….

…The spontaneous emergence of social cooperation—the emergence of a system vastly more complex, responsive and efficient than any government could organize—is not universally acknowledged or appreciated. It discomforts a certain political sensibility, the one that exaggerates the importance of government and the competence of the political class. …

Related: The professor draws on the legendary Leonard Read essay, I Pencil, written fifty years ago. It is still one of the best parables ever written to illustrate the unplanned emergent nature of markets.

And to my critics who will read this post and level the charge that I'm promoting unbridled capitalism, I will say that markets do not function perfectly regarding justice. I want you as my critic to be aware of the complex, unmanageable nature of markets and their remarkable efficiency. Under-regulated and overly managed economies present obstacles to realizing high levels of human flourishing. 


Comments

4 responses to “Pencils And Politics”

  1. Another version of the pencil story is in Milton Friedman’s “Free to Choose”. I don’t remember offhand if it’s to the same source, but I don’t think so – Friedman quotes an older book, with a different tack.
    Then he goes on to show how the demand for things influences the price of the final product. Demand for pencils goes up? So does price, but so does the effort over there where the trees are cut. More trees, more pencils, price readjusts.
    There’s more, but I don’t have the bbook with me.

  2. What I like about I pencil is that it shows the organic emergent nature of how the economy works; countless sub-systems adjusting to one another in constant motion with endless feedback loops.
    The effortless and effective nature of markets is, in part, their biggest problem. They are so effortless and effective that unless you have taken substantial time and energy to reflect on them, it is very easy to be completely unaware of what is happening around you. That also leads to naive notions about being able to manage them toward specific outcomes.
    Markets are not perfect. I believe there is a need for some regulation. But what troubles me is that so many of those who are so quick to impose regulation and disparage economic freedom are blind to the emergent organic nature of markets. They frequently fail to appreciate lack of ability to collect sufficient information to make market decisions, our inability to assess unintended consequences decisions we make (say, increasing home ownership rates by reducing lending requirements) and the inescapable reality that regulation means a political solution which nearly always includes a messy combo of sound legislation and politically partisan actions.
    Sometimes, regulation intended to help a group of folks ends up hurting them through distorted markets. “I Pencil” really drives the emergent complexity nature of markets home.

  3. I found the reference: “Free to Choose”, p.11. Friedman cites it as “Freeman, December 1958” [evidently a magazine]
    The title is “I, Pencil: My Family Tree as Told to Leonard A. Read”.
    [… “family tree” ! …]
    It’s told from the viewpoint of the pencil: “… not a single person … knows how to make me”.
    And not surprisingly, it’s on the Web:
    I, Pencil
    … and worth reading. I’ll even put in a plug for the writing, which is quite good.
    Will follows the plot closely – even renaming Read’s’s “Ceylon” to “Sri Lanka”.
    I think this is one of the key points:
    “There is a fact still more astounding: the absence of a master mind, of anyone dictating or forcibly directing these countless actions which bring me into being. No trace of such a person can be found. Instead, we find the Invisible Hand at work. This is the mystery to which I earlier referred.”
    Some societies have tried to “fix” this vacuum. We think first of Russia’s “collectives”, and their State-planned economies.
    It would have been nice of Will to mention either Friedman or Read.

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