A New Climate-Change Consensus

Wall Street Journal: Fred Krupp: A New Climate-Change Consensus

It's time for conservatives to compete with liberals to devise the best, most cost-effective climate solutions.

… For too long, the U.S. has had two camps talking past each other on this issue. One camp tended to preach and derided questions about climate science as evidence of bad motivation. The other camp claimed that climate science was an academic scam designed to get more funding, and that advocates for action were out to strangle economic growth. Charges of bad faith on both sides—and a heavy dose of partisan politics—saw to it that constructive conversation rarely occurred.

If both sides can now begin to agree on some basic propositions, maybe we can restart the discussion. Here are two:

The first will be uncomfortable for skeptics, but it is unfortunately true: Dramatic alterations to the climate are here and likely to get worse—with profound damage to the economy—unless sustained action is taken. As the Economist recently editorialized about the melting Arctic: "It is a stunning illustration of global warming, the cause of the melt. It also contains grave warnings of its dangers. The world would be mad to ignore them."

The second proposition will be uncomfortable for supporters of climate action, but it is also true: Some proposed climate solutions, if not well designed or thoughtfully implemented, could damage the economy and stifle short-term growth. As much as environmentalists feel a justifiable urgency to solve this problem, we cannot ignore the economic impact of any proposed action, especially on those at the bottom of the pyramid. For any policy to succeed, it must work with the market, not against it. …

One of the biggest obstacles to effective discussion on this topic was how too many earlier climate activists opportunistically used climate change to advance pre-existing political agendas. I read Michael Hulme's book Why We Disagree About Climate Change a few months ago. He writes about his own lifelong metamorphous in how he sees the topic. He admits that when teaching environmental classes in England in the late 1980s, he regularly interjected his anti-Thatcher politics, using climate change to advance his political agenda. He was hardly alone. His political and environmental views have not changed much, but he now regrets how he politicized the issue early on.

Ultimately, suppose you are a left-leaning climate activist. In that case, you have to ask whether it is more important to score political points for an ideological agenda (talking about how stupid and evil conservatives are while patting yourself on the back for your superior intellect) or find ways to achieve broad-based consensus on prudent actions. If the choice is the former, then climate change itself is not as big an issue as you say it is. You allow political gamesmanship to trump prudent change. 


Comments

3 responses to “A New Climate-Change Consensus”

  1. To have a consensus there must be an agreement about the truth. So far, the “truths” I’ve seen about climate change are that
    1) there have been vast amounts of fakery and fraud going on in the camp of climate change advocates to fudge the data to prove their points. That’s incontestable.
    2) Often this fakery is combined with profit motives by those in power to guarantee they will line their pockets through “investments” made successful through government largess and regulation.
    3) Their own side has made it abundantly clear that for them “Green is the new Red”. They really want no consensus… they want a carte blanche.
    I doubt it will be possible to move ahead until these problems are acknowledged and repented of…

  2. The main problem I see with Climate Science is that it isn’t really science in the formal sense. Science depends on being able to do repeatable experiments that come up with a specific outcome. Climate Science is all about modeling.
    The other issue is that the long term predictions are not occurring. In 2007 Jay Zwally, NASA Climate Scientist said, “At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice free by the end of summer 2012, much faster than previous predictions.” Another failed prediction. The problem was that Zwally was cherry picking his data. So maybe we need to change the term Climate Science to Climate Religion until the predictions start matching with reality.

  3. I think it makes far more sense cost-wise to adapt to changing temperatures, which are have happened before (there is a reason why Greenland was named Greenland, after all). I do not agree that the average temperature of, say, 1950 was the ideal that must never be deviated from. There are, I suspect, as many opportunities in rising temperatures as there are risks.
    In addition, there is evidence that sunspot activity plays a major role in global warming or cooling. There is nothing we can do to change the sun’s activities!
    Finally, a major eruption of a volcanic caldera (in Yellowstone or at Mt. Vesuvius) will rapidly cool the planet and make our desperate efforts to cool the planet look puny. Nature is quite powerful, and we overestimate our ability to change it.

Leave a Reply

Discover more from Kruse Kronicle

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading