Peter Schiff: The Fantasy of a 91% Top Income Tax Rate

Wall Street Journal: Peter Schiff: The Fantasy of a 91% Top Income Tax Rate

I'm not making a case either way about the battle over the tax increases on the wealthy currently being debated. Strategically, I think the Republicans would have been better to compromise on the tax rate increase. That would put the question squarely back on spending and entitlement reform, where the central focus of the discussion should be. As it is, they just hand the President and the Democrats a populist club to beat them with.

Still, this article does a great job of debunking comparisons of tax rates from different eras.

A liberal article of faith that confiscatory taxes fed the postwar boom turns out to be an Edsel of an economic idea.

Democratic Party leaders, President Obama in particular, are forever telling the country that wealthy Americans are taxed at too low a rate and pay too little in taxes. The need to correct this seeming injustice is framed not simply in terms of fairness. Higher tax rates on the wealthy, we're told, would help balance the budget, allow for more "investment" in America's future and foster better economic growth for all. In support of this claim, like-minded liberal pundits point out that in the 1950s, when America's economic might was at its zenith, the rich faced tax rates as high as 91%.

True enough, the top marginal income-tax rate in the 1950s was much higher than today's top rate of 35%—but the share of income paid by the wealthiest Americans has essentially remained flat since then.

In 1958, the top 3% of taxpayers earned 14.7% of all adjusted gross income and paid 29.2% of all federal income taxes. In 2010, the top 3% earned 27.2% of adjusted gross income and their share of all federal taxes rose proportionally, to 51%.

So if the top marginal tax rate has fallen to 35% from 91%, how in the world has the tax burden on the wealthy remained roughly the same? Two factors are responsible. Lower- and middle-income workers now bear a significantly lighter burden than in the past. And the confiscatory top marginal rates of the 1950s were essentially symbolic—very few actually paid them. In reality the vast majority of top earners faced lower effective rates than they do today. …

… It's hard to determine how much otherwise taxable income disappeared through tax shelters in the 1950s. As a result, direct comparisons between the 1950s and now are difficult. However, it is worth noting that from 1958 to 2010, the taxes paid by the top 3% of earners, as a percentage of total personal income (which can't be reduced by shelters), increased to 3.96% from 2.72%, while the percentage paid by the bottom two-thirds of filers fell to 0.51% in 2010 from 2.7%. This starker division of relative tax burdens can be explained by the inability of upper-income groups to shelter income.

It is a testament to the shallow nature of the national economic conversation that higher tax rates can be justified by reference to a fantasy—a 91% marginal rate that hardly any top earners paid. …


Comments

3 responses to “Peter Schiff: The Fantasy of a 91% Top Income Tax Rate”

  1. Travis Greene Avatar
    Travis Greene

    I don’t know that anyone is actually advocating a return to the 91% rate. 91% is crazy. The point is that 1) even that did not really stop people from trying to get rich and 2) by comparison, a return to Clinton-era rates is not some ludicrous socialist revolution.
    I think all sensible people agree that both revenue and spending should be on the negotiating table.

  2. Paul Krugman has recently referenced the 91% rate as evidence that tax rates don’t matter much to growth and I read others saying a 70% rate is doable. As the article points out, the reason the high rates worked was because of the accompanying web of loopholes and deductions.
    I agree that the return to Clinton rates is probably not that big a deal. And I agree that revenue and pending need to be on the table. But historically, revenue and spending as a percentage of GDP have been about 18-19%. Revenue is just barely under this while spending is at 25% and 4% points over the historic high of the last several decades.
    From a purely political angle, as I say, I think the Republicans have been fools not compromise on the tax rate. If they had, it would not be done and forgotten. Republicans could press their case against spending and later revise the tax rate when they get votes and public support on their side. But as it is, the conversation is about Republicans and their protection of the rich.

  3. They don’t call the GOP the Stupid Party for nothing.
    I would agree that it makes sense to give into the demands to raise taxes on the rich. Not because I believe it would solve things, but it takes the focus off the GOP and on to the President and the Dems.

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